GOOGLE ADS
martes, diciembre 3, 2024

Everything You Look For On a Website

HomeForexHow to Draw Fibonacci Retracement: A Step-by-Step Guide for Traders

How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement: A Step-by-Step Guide for Traders

[ad_1]

This post is written by Jet Toyco, a trader and trading coach.

Here’s the truth…

The Fibonacci retracement is one of the most popular trading tools out there.

At the same time…

It’s also one of the most debated ones.

It makes people wonder:

Does the Fibonacci retracement work?

Does it have an edge in the markets?

Should I even keep on using it?

You see my friend…

What makes a good swordsman is not his sword.

But the skill he has to wield the sword.

It’s the same for trading tools such as plotting support and resistance

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

Plotting trend lines.

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

And finally, drawing Fibonacci retracements.

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

So, the question now is…

GOOGLE ADS

How do you draw a Fibonacci retracement?

Do we start plotting by including the wick?

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

Or do we plot from the body?

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

Well, believe me…

The answer isn’t as simple as it seems as we’re only looking at the tip of the iceberg here.

This is why in this guide you’ll learn:

  • An in-depth but quick explanation as to how the Fibonacci is applied in trading
  • What you should NOT do drawing the Fibonacci retracement
  • A fool-proof and step-by-step guide on plotting the Fibonacci retracement

That’s right.

You’ll be getting the whole package here.

So, get your notes up, and let’s get started!

What is Fibonacci Retracement and How Does It Work?

In case you didn’t know…

The Fibonacci levels you see on your chart are not the Fibonacci sequence itself.

You might be thinking:

“Wait what?”

“So, where did those numbers come from?”

Good.

You’re asking the right questions!

So, let me tell you where those numbers come from.

Now, the original Fibonacci sequence is as follows:

1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377

Again.

How the heck did those numbers come into place?

You’d be surprised, basic math!

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

See?

It’s pretty much just a mathematical “sequence” where you add the previous number to get the next one!

But as simple as it is…

The Fibonacci is all over nature!

From architecture…

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

To animals…

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

Even to humans!

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

Alright, we’re getting side-tracked here…

So!

How does it apply to trading?

How in the world did we freaking get these Fibonacci ratios in trading?

23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 88.6%

So, remember how we get the next number in the Fibonacci sequence by adding the previous one?

READ  Tamadoge (TAMA/USD) Market Stands to Make Swift Bounces Afterward

1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377

In this case, we’re using this same Fibonacci sequence to divide them so that we can get the Fibonacci “ratio.”

Let me give you an example…

If you divide 21 by 34 in the Fibonacci sequence, what do you get?

0.618 (61.8%)

Now, what if you divide 21 by 55 which is two sequences away?

0.382 (38.2%)

How about 21 with 89 which is three sequences away?

0.236 (23.6%)

That makes more sense, right?

I mean, we need to learn how to apply these to financial markets!

And as you know…

It’s this very same Fibonacci ratio that we learn how to draw Fibonacci retracement in very different ways.

Such as with the Fibonacci circle:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

Fibonacci fan:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

And finally, which is what we’re going to focus on today, the Fibonacci retracement:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

Now before we go head-on as to how to draw Fibonacci retracement…

Let me tell you a common mistake a trader makes when plotting them on the chart.

The most common mistake traders make when knowing how to draw Fibonacci retracement

You see…

Knowing how to draw Fibonacci retracement is more than just knowing whether or not you should “include” the wick or the close.

It’s about identifying your market structure and condition!

This is why traders often make the mistake of not learning…

How to identify relevant swing highs and lows properly

Plotting a Fibonacci retracement requires two things.

A swing high, and a swing low:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

This is so that you can determine how low the pullback can potentially go:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

That makes sense, right?

However…

How about these swing highs?

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

Aha, this is where things can get tricky.

Because a lot of traders can get confused about whether or not they should plot their Fibonacci retracement like this:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

Or like this:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

Which swing high should you start drawing your Fibonacci retracement?

Now if you’re in this situation, what do you do?

Yep, you probably end up plotting more Fibonacci retracements on your chart:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

But this my friend…

Is the wrong way to use this tool.

Yes, plotting more Fibonacci retracements can give you “confluence” on which levels to look at:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

But this will do you more analysis paralysis than actually making good trades.

So?

What’s the solution?

Focus on the current price, and the relevant swing highs and lows for that current price

READ  How to Trade the British Pound vs the New Zealand Dollar

As a Fibonacci trader myself before…

I fell into this trap of plotting every single Fibonacci retracement I can plot on and zooming out my charts as far as I can.

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

But the moment I focused on the current price:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

And then figuring out the “relevant” swing highs and swing lows:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

Identifying trading setups has been clearer than ever:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

That’s right!

Less is more, my friend.

One good Fibonacci retracement is all you need most of the time!

And this leads us to the main question of the day…

“How to draw Fibonacci retracement properly?”

Let me show you in the next section…

A Step-by-Step Guide on How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement

Let’s get right into it, shall we?

Now listen carefully…

To consistently draw a Fibonacci retracement, these are the steps that you must keep in mind:

  1. Identify the market condition
  2. Identify the relevant swing highs and lows
  3. Plot your Fibonacci retracement that coincides with the market condition

Let me show you how it’s done!

1. Identify the market condition

This part is crucial as you don’t want to be plotting the Fibonacci retracement into the wild.

Because if you remember…

Our purpose in knowing how to draw Fibonacci retracement is to gauge how deep a pullback can go in an existing trend!

So, you must identify whether the market is in an uptrend:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

Or in a downtrend:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

P.S. To keep things objective, you can use the 200-period moving average to define market conditions with ease.

Next…

2. Identify the relevant swing highs and lows

Remember what we talked about in the last section?

Good.

As you want to focus on the current price and figure out the relevant “leg” or swing highs and lows based on the current price.

Here’s an example in an uptrend:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

And in a downtrend:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

Makes sense?

So now that you have your relevant swing highs and lows…

All that’s left is to draw your Fibonacci retracement!

3. Plot your Fibonacci retracement that coincides with the market condition

The reason why I shared with you those two prior steps is this…

It’s so that you don’t plot your Fibonacci retracement upside down!

That’s why in an uptrend, you must plot your Fibonacci retracement from the swing low up until the swing high:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

And in a downtrend, you plot the Fibonacci retracement from the swing high down to the swing low:

READ  Forex Alchemy » Could Investing In Crypto Be The Ultimate Hedge For Forex Traders?

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

So, can you see how important it is to identify the trend first?

Because remember…

We are trying to measure how deep a pullback can potentially go, before it potentially reverses.

Here’s an example from USDMXN Daily chart:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

Another example from Wheat Futures Daily chart:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

And there you go!

A step-by-step guide on how to draw Fibonacci retracement!

But wait, I almost forgot something!

There’s still one more question left I forgot to answer…

Do you start plotting from the wicks or the close?

I’ll be honest with you…

This is often a question I get about drawing Fibonacci retracement!

But for the sake of consistency…

I suggest plotting from wick to wick.

The only exception is when the wick becomes too volatile or becomes an “outlier” to the market structure:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

In that case…

I exclude that wick and start plotting at the area where the swing high or low is relevant and visible:

How to draw Fibonacci retracement

P.S. I plotted my Fibonacci retracement two swing lows below as it is more relevant to the current price

Sounds good?

Then start going into charts and start practicing how to draw Fibonacci retracement!

But nonetheless…

If you wish to take things to the next level by learning how to profit from this tool, I highly suggest you check this out:

The Essential Guide To Fibonacci Trading

With that said, let’s have a quick recap of what you’ve learned today…

Conclusion

When used right…

The Fibonacci retracement is a powerful tool that can give you an objective view of how to trade pullbacks and “predict” reversals.

But in reality, learning how to draw Fibonacci retracement requires a process.

That’s why in today’s guide I was able to share with you that:

  • Fibonacci “ratios” are derived from dividing the values from the original Fibonacci “sequence”
  • Plotting the Fibonacci retracement should be kept simple by simply identifying relevant swing highs and lows based on the current price
  • Drawing the Fibonacci retracement means that you must identify the market condition and the relevant swing highs and lows so that you’ll know the right orientation on where you should plot all the time

And there you go!

So, over to you…

Have you been using other tools such as the Fibonacci extension or fan aside from the Fibonacci retracement?

How is it helping you in your trading right now?

Let me know in the comments below!



[ad_2]

GOOGLE ADS
RELATED ARTICLES

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

Most Popular

Recent Comments